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	<title>Embracing Chaos &#187; Amazon</title>
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	<link>http://www.embracingchaos.com</link>
	<description>Leo Parker Dirac on Business and Technology Trends</description>
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		<title>Parting thoughts on working at Google</title>
		<link>http://www.embracingchaos.com/2010/05/parting-thoughts-on-working-at-google.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.embracingchaos.com/2010/05/parting-thoughts-on-working-at-google.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 May 2010 22:52:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>leodirac</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Amazon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Facebook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Microsoft]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Personal Growth]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.embracingchaos.com/?p=1007</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s been two and a half years since I started working for Google.  Now, as I walk out the door, I&#8217;m going to try to capture some of my thoughts about the experience and share them here.
In the summer of 2007, as I was finishing up my MBA, I was faced with a choice of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s been two and a half years since <a href="http://www.embracingchaos.com/2007/10/im-working-for.html">I started working for Google</a>.  Now, as I walk out the door, I&#8217;m going to try to capture some of my thoughts about the experience and share them here.</p>
<p>In the summer of 2007, as I was finishing up my <a href="http://foster.washington.edu">MBA</a>, I was faced with a choice of where to work.  I had this job at Google, and was also considering spinning up a startup on my own.  I had spent the last several years studying entrepreneurship and wanted to put that training into action.  One thing that really pushed me to Google was some advice from a very wise friend who was also looking for a new gig.  He said something like this.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8220;So many people have adjustable rate mortgages, it&#8217;s ridiculous.  They&#8217;re going to reset and people won&#8217;t be able to afford to pay them any more.  I think a lot of people are going to default on their mortgages and lose their houses.  I bet that will drag the entire economy down.  That&#8217;s why I&#8217;m looking for a job in a nice big stable company.&#8221;</p>
<p>He went to Amazon.  Having tried to start a small venture in a recession previously, I decided that Google would be a great place to hide out.  I also figured (correctly!) that I could learn a lot about how an extremely well-run company works from the inside.</p>
<p><strong>Bottoms-Up Management</strong></p>
<p>I learned how bottoms-up management works.  The idea of giving as much control as possible to the individual contributors who are working on the problems themselves.  Google exemplifies the saying &#8220;<strong>let 1,000 flowers bloom</strong>&#8221; with teams seemingly running in every direction at once.  <strong>It&#8217;s worked very well for them</strong>, and I can see a lot of value in this structure.  But <strong>I also see its limitations</strong>.</p>
<p>Having spent a while working on building infrastructure projects at Google, I experienced first-hand the limitations of bottoms-up management.  Individuals are empowered to make their own decisions, and they optimize for what&#8217;s best for themselves, which means their careers and their projects.  It&#8217;s easy to optimize towards a local-minimum which is great for your project, but not necessarily ideal for the company as a whole.  Similarly, top-down directives are extremely difficult to enforce.  Executives can make decrees about how things should work, and it just doesn&#8217;t happen.  I remember walking out of a review with Larry, Sergey and Eric and hearing one of the Directors respond &#8220;well that&#8217;s Sergey&#8217;s opinion.&#8221;</p>
<p>I spent a bunch of time trying to encourage teams to standardize parts of their backend infrastructure on shared components.  Shared technology is rarely the easiest or fastest thing for an individual project, so let me tell you the road was challenging.  I&#8217;ll refrain from pointing out the holes in Google&#8217;s products that I was trying to plug which are still open.  (To be clear, I&#8217;m referring to missing features and UX annoyances, not security holes.)  But I also learned some important lessons in how to design such infrastructure so that it is a win-win-win for all the teams involved.</p>
<p><strong>Alignment with Customers</strong></p>
<p>The best thing about working at Google was the clear alignment with customers.  Because Google is so strong in web search, they can afford to invest heavily in primary demand stimulation.  Like Campbell&#8217;s paying for an ad campaign that says &#8220;Soup is good food&#8221;, it makes financial sense for Google to work very hard just to get people to use the web more.  It goes beyond the motto &#8220;focus on the user&#8221; &#8212; <strong>Google really does want whatever the user wants, at least 99% of the time.</strong></p>
<p>This makes huge classes of problem solving so much easier, because there&#8217;s no cognitive dissonance trying to remember the difference between a great user experience and a sound business decision.  This particular aspect of the business was an extremely refreshing change coming from Real Networks.  I remember working hard on re-designing the Real Player installer experience and tackling that specific problem head on.  The company had become addicted to the pocket change they could scrape out of their unsuspecting customers by surreptitiously taking over their computers when the Player was installed.  None of that BS at Google.</p>
<p><strong>Looking forwards</strong></p>
<p>Google faces some serious challenges in the years ahead.  For many of the reasons <a href="http://www.embracingchaos.com/2007/10/microsoft-buys.html">I pointed out in 2007</a>, Facebook continues to be a serious threat to Google&#8217;s primary business.  Android faces an uphill battle against Apple&#8217;s dominance in the all-important mobile space.  Amazon seems to be squarely in control of the hosted cloud computing space.  And Microsoft seems to be pulling their head out of the sand for office productivity software.  None of these problems will be easy for Google to solve.  But I&#8217;m confident the amazing folks I worked with there will put in very strong showings.</p>
<p>As for me, I&#8217;m going to work in social media.  I&#8217;m very excited about my new role which I&#8217;ll write more about soon.</p>
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		<title>Covers for Kindles</title>
		<link>http://www.embracingchaos.com/2008/08/covers-for-kind.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.embracingchaos.com/2008/08/covers-for-kind.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Aug 2008 05:57:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>leodirac</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Amazon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumer Electronics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gadgets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social Computing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[User Experience]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[My girlfriend has a kindle that she very much enjoys. One of the biggest benefits from it she gets is having a large amount of content in a very small device. She is a scientist who is very much an information worker. Having access to a great many research papers in searchable form is very useful for her. (If only the PDF import worked on multi-column papers!) She also tends to live out of a backpack, so being able to have several interesting things to read at any give time is very appealing. So she's often reading her kindle on...
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style="float:right"><a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B000FI73MA?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=httpwwwaddgco-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325&amp;creativeASIN=B000FI73MA"><img border="0" src="http://ecx.images-amazon.com/images/I/41mLdDed4ML._SL160_.jpg" /></a><img width="1" height="1" border="0" src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=httpwwwaddgco-20&amp;l=as2&amp;o=1&amp;a=B000FI73MA" style="border: medium none  ! important; margin: 0px ! important;" /></div>
<p>My girlfriend has a kindle that she very much enjoys.&nbsp; One of the biggest benefits from it she gets is having a large amount of content in a very small device.&nbsp; She is a scientist who is very much an information worker.&nbsp; Having access to a great many research papers in searchable form is very useful for her.&nbsp; (If only the PDF import worked on multi-column papers!)&nbsp; She also tends to live out of a backpack, so being able to have several interesting things to read at any give time is very appealing.</p>
<p>So she&#8217;s often reading her kindle <strong>on the bus</strong>.&nbsp; She&#8217;s noted one interesting difference between reading her Kindle and reading a regular book while on the bus.&nbsp; When she&#8217;s reading a normal book, people will ask her what booj she&#8217;s reading or will look at the cover and just talk to her about the book itself.&nbsp; With the kindle <strong>the question is always &quot;how do you like the gizmo?&quot;</strong>&nbsp; Which gets old after a while.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s a suggestion to Amazon on how to address this social problzem: <strong>offer full-color PDFs of the covers of books that you purchase for the Kindle, so people can print out their own covers</strong>.&nbsp; These could slide into a convenient holder on the Kindle&#8217;s attractive leather case.&nbsp; Long-term it&#8217;d be great to have a color e-paper cover for the book, but we&#8217;re not holding our breath for that one.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Why Amazon Kindle might succeed where others have failed</title>
		<link>http://www.embracingchaos.com/2008/02/amazon-kindle.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.embracingchaos.com/2008/02/amazon-kindle.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Feb 2008 07:03:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>leodirac</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Amazon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[User Experience]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wp.embracingchaos.com/2008/02/amazon-kindle.html</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Amazon has a history of facilitating disruptive change. First by selling books online, they demonstrated the advantages of a well-run online store. Then with music, movies and just about everything else, they have shown that centralizing inventory and customer experience allows for reduced costs and an improved experience over a traditional distributed retail model. Today, Amazon Web Services is starting to disrupt IT operations similarly by providing a higher quality service at lower cost than most companies can manage themselves. They achieve these scale economies through centralization. With Kindle Amazon is attempting another disruptive change, this time in the way...
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Amazon has a history of facilitating disruptive change.&nbsp; First by selling books online, they demonstrated the advantages of a well-run online store.&nbsp; Then with music, movies and just about everything else, they have shown that centralizing inventory and customer experience allows for reduced costs and an improved experience over a traditional distributed retail model.&nbsp; Today, Amazon Web Services is starting to disrupt IT operations similarly by providing a higher quality service at lower cost than most companies can manage themselves.&nbsp; They achieve these scale economies through centralization.&nbsp; With Kindle Amazon is attempting another disruptive change, this time in the way people read books.&nbsp; <strong>Lower distribution costs give electronic “e-books” an intrinsic advantage</strong> over physical books, hinting that e-books are inevitable.&nbsp; But will Kindle be able to “<a href="http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&amp;ct=res&amp;cd=2&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.amazon.com%2FCrossing-Chasm-Marketing-High-Tech-Mainstream%2Fdp%2F0066620023&amp;ei=DvmzR_DeOob6pgT5183GDA&amp;usg=AFQjCNF6NGMnjCCfM7datiPBFTd7L-cF6g&amp;sig2=nYkxezdZQnYMhe9mpiuArA">cross the chasm</a>” and become a mass-market device?&nbsp; <strong>Amazon’s complementary assets</strong>, scale and technology all <strong>make it likely that Kindle will succeed</strong>.</p>
<p>Several startup companies have sold e-book readers in the past, but none successfully.&nbsp; Sony is the only other large company to have tried.&nbsp; &nbsp;Assurance that a risky new technology is backed by <strong>a company that won&#8217;t disappear</strong> is important for mass-market adoption, giving Sony and Amazon an advantage.&nbsp; This is especially important for devices that consume media, as the device’s utility dwindles without new content.&nbsp; Amazon is especially well positioned to offer media for Kindle through its complementary assets.</p>
<p><strong>Amazon’s established relationships with book publishers </strong>are extremely valuable to Kindle<strong>.</strong>&nbsp; Book publishers control e-book content.&nbsp; Amazon’s history of selling physical books has earned them the trust of almost every publishing house, ensuring easy access to electronic versions of books. In addition to existing e-books, Amazon’s scale gives them leverage to encourage publishers to release electronic versions of books.</p>
<p>Beyond that, Amazon has rare technology to make electronic versions of books available with far less work on the publishers’ parts.&nbsp; Amazon has spent years scanning physical books to enable a feature called “<strong>Search Inside This Book</strong>” on their website.&nbsp; Along with Google, they have one of the only <strong>large archives of scanned physical books</strong> in the world.&nbsp; This enables selling e-books for books that publishers don’t even have original electronic copies of, with rights negotiations as the only remaining barrier.</p>
<p>Innovators have been jibbing together their own e-book readers out of laptops and PDF files for years.&nbsp; Early-adopters look for concrete advantages like the ability to search books.&nbsp; Med-students give Kindle <a href="http://www.amazon.com/review/R3594DOK61CLWA/ref=cm_cr_pr_cmt?%5Fencoding=UTF8&amp;ASIN=B000FI73MA">rave reviews</a> for this capability.&nbsp; &nbsp;The easy availability and portability of dozens of books appeal to the small segment of truly voracious readers.&nbsp; Kindle seems to serve these early segments well.&nbsp; To cross the chasm into the mass market of the early majority, Kindle must make the experience simple and reliable.&nbsp; Kindle’s <strong>wireless data connection</strong> sets it apart from all previous e-book readers.&nbsp; By leveraging Sprint’s nation-wide 3G cellular data network, Kindle can load content without the operator even owning a computer.&nbsp; Thus Kindle dodges the inevitable complexity that arises anytime a PC is involved.&nbsp; This, along with Amazon’s <strong>well-established customer service</strong>, promise to make Kindle much easier for the early majority to accept.</p>
<p>Kindle seems well positioned for acceptance by the mass market.&nbsp; If successful, Amazon will need to balance publishers’ need for DRM against <a href="http://www.embracingchaos.com/2007/11/drm-free-music.html">consumers’ desire for open content</a>.&nbsp; The music industry has exposed these issues but certainly <a href="http://www.embracingchaos.com/2008/02/music-ip.html">not solved them</a>.</p>
<p><em>[This is another recycled homework assignment.&nbsp; Something to keep y'all entertained while I'm in <a href="http://www.kgimpelson.org/wedding/index.html">New Zealand</a>!]</em></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Democratizing Product Development: Amazon, Google and Facebook</title>
		<link>http://www.embracingchaos.com/2007/08/democratizing-p.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.embracingchaos.com/2007/08/democratizing-p.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Aug 2007 15:07:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>leodirac</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Amazon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democratization of Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Facebook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wp.embracingchaos.com/2007/08/democratizing-p.html</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A trend in modern successful websites is the democratization of information and decision making. The so-called wisdom of the crowds is at the heart of what makes a web 2.0 company successful. I'm going to compare how three companies have democratized the process of making product development decisions. Amazon makes extensive use of so-called A/B testing to try out new UI's and optimize the user flow. This works very well for them because their end goal is very well defined: they want people to buy stuff. They are facing a very hard optimization problem, but their objective function is clear...
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A trend in modern successful websites is the democratization of information and decision making.&nbsp; The so-called wisdom of the crowds is at the heart of what makes a web 2.0 company successful.&nbsp; I&#8217;m going to compare how three companies have democratized the process of making product development decisions.</p>
<p><strong>Amazon</strong> makes extensive use of so-called<strong> A/B testing</strong> to try out new UI&#8217;s and optimize the user flow.&nbsp; This works very well for them because <strong>their end goal is very well defined</strong>: they want people to buy stuff.&nbsp; They are facing a very hard optimization problem, but their objective function is clear and easy to measure.&nbsp; So they can try out new UI&#8217;s for 1% of users, and if it does well according to this well-defined metric, roll it out to a broader audience.&nbsp; This is essentially best practice for any modern successful online company.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.embracingchaos.com/2006/10/democratization.html">Google has done a lot to democratize the internet &#8212; notably by democratizing search</a> through PageRank which allows anybody to implicitly vote on the relative merit of a web page.&nbsp; They have also democratized the way some product development choices are made through through their policy of encouraging developers to build whatever they want in 20% of their time.&nbsp; The result is that everything you can possibly imagine is probably being worked on by at least one googler, and the ideas with merit gain momentum and get built into real services.&nbsp; But before they get launched to the public they still must be approved by a central authority.&nbsp; Sure Google does A/B testing like everybody else, which is great for UI tweaks and to verify that new services won&#8217;t crash when hit with massive traffic.&nbsp; But it&#8217;s extremely difficult to do A/B testing on major changes to functionality.&nbsp; For example, it&#8217;s hard to imagine testing a change to how g-mail delivers mail through this kind of test.&nbsp; Moreover, depending on how the test goes, the change is either rolled out to the entire user base or not at all.</p>
<p>Facebook&#8217;s platform offers another alternative.&nbsp; ISV&#8217;s have the opportunity to offer major new kinds of functionality to Facebook users in a very democratic way.&nbsp; Users can try out the new features, and if they like it, they&#8217;ll tell their friends about it, and the feature will spread.&nbsp; Some features which are only appropriate for a certain segment of a user base can naturally find that segment.&nbsp; This mechanism doesn&#8217;t really lower the cost of adding new functionality compared to how Google does it &#8212; Google is always launching new features that you&#8217;d never know about without reading their dozens of product blogs.&nbsp; But it democratizes the process of figuring out which of these new features are valuable enough for a mass audience.&nbsp; To continue with the democracy analog, these decisions are still made by a communist-style central-planning committee in Google&#8217;s world, whereas <strong>Facebook users can vote with their keyboards on what features are worth using.&nbsp; </strong>This will make the Facebook platform very competitive in the arena of user&#8217;s attention.</p>
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